Wednesday, March 22, 2023
HomeMortgageNinth RBA hike a close to certainty –

Ninth RBA hike a close to certainty –

With the most recent inflation price clocking in at 7.8% for the December quarter, debtors will virtually actually face one other RBA money price hike subsequent month, based on

That might be the ninth rise in latest instances, and would take the OCR to its highest price for the reason that September 2012 assembly.

“Australia has a severe inflation drawback and it’s not going away with out a struggle,” mentioned Sally Tindall, analysis director. “With annual inflation now sitting at 7.8%, the RBA has little alternative however to serve Australians with one more money price hike.”

One other 0.25 proportion level enhance would imply the typical borrower with a $500,000 debt earlier than the hikes began in Might final yr could possibly be taking a look at a complete enhance of their month-to-month repayments of $908 extra a month, reported.

The desk beneath confirmed the rise in month-to-month repayments in case of a 0.25% hike in February:

Mortgage dimension

February enhance

Complete enhance Might-Feb 







$1 million



Be aware:  Based mostly on an owner-occupier paying principal and curiosity with 25 years remaining. Beginning price is the RBA av. current owner-occupier variable price of two.86% in April and assumes banks cross the hikes on in full.

All 4 massive banks count on the Reserve Financial institution to carry the OCR by 0.25 proportion factors at February’s assembly. The peak of the money price stays a contentious subject, nonetheless.

The desk beneath reveals the money price forecasts of the massive 4 banks’ financial groups:


Feb RBA mtg

Money price peak

Forecasted cuts


+0.25% to three.35%

3.35%, February 23

2 x 0.25% cuts, finish 2023 


+0.25% to three.35%

3.85% Might 23

4 x 0.25% cuts in 2024 


+0.25% to three.35%

3.60% March 23



+0.25% to three.35%

3.85% Might 23

1 x 0.25% lower November 2024

Do you agree with the rate of interest forecast? We’d love to listen to from you within the feedback beneath. 



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